2020 was an exceptional year and a tragic one for many families in our communities. We witnessed significantly more deaths than were expected at the beginning of the year, and elevated deaths continue into 2021.
3 March 2021
When thinking about pension fund finances, the isolated impact of 2020 excess mortality will be small. This is because we only expect a very small fraction of pension fund members to die each year, so even increasing this number by 10% or more leads to only a modest change to future cashflows. What is more important are the potential knock-on effects of COVID-19 on future improvements in life expectancy in 2021 and beyond, with both positive and negative effects.
To understand the risk associated with these competing effects, we turn to scenario analysis, a cornerstone of risk management used both to explore extreme risk and to understand an acceptable range of best estimate assumptions.
In this paper we present four longevity scenarios that pension funds can use to help understand the increased longevity risk introduced by the pandemic and to stress test their funding strategies.
Download our whitepaper
Submit your details below to get instant access to this whitepaper.
Club Vita will send you marketing communications from time to time. You can update your preferences or unsubscribe whenever you wish. Please read our privacy notice to find out more.